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8 February 2017

Facebook and Alphabet - Worlds Apart

Facebook and Alphabet are worlds apart when it comes to AI.

While Google is pushing the boundaries of artificial intelligence forward, Facebook is making excuses for its inability to control hate speech highlighting once again who is the leader and who the laggard in the field of AI.

Google has demonstrated a system it has built that allows very poor digital photos to be enhanced to reveal details of the photograph that have been completely obliterated. In a similar fashion to the way that Deep Mind built AlphaGo, Google has combined two neural networks to produce the algorithm capable of enhancing low resolution images. One of these networks uses its knowledge of certain images to add details while the other effectively reverse engineers the process by which the image was compressed into its current form. The result is quite startling but it is worth remembering that the machine knew what the original image was a face or a bedroom but no more than that.

Despite Google’s claim that this was an experiment only with no plans to put it to use, we think that the uses for this are endless. This technology would be useful in upscaling video to high resolution screens as well as being highly applicable to law enforcement, security, military, medical and so and so forth. Hence, we think that this technology or an off shoot of it is likely to find its way into Google’s products and services in the medium term.

To us this is another demonstration of how well Google leads the field of artificial intelligence and is the closest to using it to enhance the richness and quality of its Digital Life services. This will be a huge benefit to Google as better services will drive more usage through its networks giving it a greater opportunity to monetise. However, this is also the opportunity that Facebook is chasing but when it comes to making its Digital Life services deeper and richer with intelligence, we see it being miles behind.

The problems that it has had with fake news, idiotic bots and Facebook M, all support my view that when Facebook tries to automate its systems, things always go wrong. The problem is not that Facebook does not have the right people but simply that it has not been working on artificial intelligence for nearly long enough. RFM research has found that time is the single most important element when it comes to having a solid foundation of intelligent algorithms upon which to build intelligent services.

In contrast, Google has been working on this for over 20 years and is still innovating as fast as it can. Facebook’s most recent pronouncement by one of its lawyers that it is unable to control hate speech on its platform due to the scale of data that is posted every day, is just another data point highlighting the problem. Facebook has to get this under control otherwise we fear that it will fail to really expand beyond social networking and instant messaging as the offerings from its rivals will be more useful and more fun. Facebook has some time to get to grips with this problem but we still think it will have to resort to making a series of acquisitions in order to catch up with its rivals.

We remain uninterested in both Alphabet and Facebook at this time preferring Microsoft, Tencent and Baidu with Apple for income based investors.

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7 February 2017

Huawei & Xiaomi - Different Strokes

Xiaomi and Huawei go in different directions.

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6 February 2017

GoPro vs. Shenzhen – Forlorn hope

GoPro needs something special to fend off Shenzen

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3 February 2017

Snap Inc – pain, not gain

$20bn – $25bn is at least 32% too much to pay for investors who will also have no say whatsoever in how the company is run despite having significant skin in the game.

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2 February 2017

Facebook Q4 16 – In focus

In the next 3 years, the priority is clearly video and we can see Facebook evolving to become more like YouTube or Netflix.

Facebook reported good results and highlighted that while 2017 would be much slower, video is the current priority to drive the next leg of growth.

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1 February 2017

Apple FQ1 16 – A one-way street – iPhone benefits where Google could not

These were good results but they do not herald the return to growth that the shares badly need if they are to see any real upward momentum.

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